River Shove Good?

[Dilly]

On the turn there is way more we beat than we lose to in CO's value betting range:


Assume he folds overpairs to our turn XR, and calls...

[Dilly]

I've played Global and ACR, both are fine as far as unlicensed and unregulated goes. Global is probably on average softer and I suspect less bots but...

[Dilly]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MO_G7jfOya4

[Dilly]

We don't have many premium hands on the flop so calling with our whole continuing range makes sense, and we can continue relatively tight since it's multiway....

[Dilly]

In general I can get behind some flatting to set mine, or with SCs AXs, in live games where BB won't squeeze enough--but this is the risk. When we don't...

[Dilly]

We want to be using a polarized strategy when we think Villain is more likely to do a lot of folding and 4-betting, and a linear strategy when we think...

[Dilly]

It's just a math problem lol. If you want to change the inputs to something you find more reasonable, the point still stands, we hit a ceiling in how...

[Dilly]

Yeah I'm looking at it again, the issue is we don't have any bluffs here. We have 4 combos of KQs, 18 of KK QQ TT, everything else is TP2K or better....

[Dilly]

The two statements aren't contradictory though, cash games are way tougher in general, but once you're beating them you tend to win in a more consistent...

[Dilly]

https://upswingpoker.com/hand/?pokeit=5qMurwH

[Dilly]

We're definitely in the top 2/3 of our range so if villain is capable of bluffing here we probably need to call it off

[Dilly]

I think we just call turn. I don't think many if any worse hands call, particularly when we hold the Ad which blocks some of the draws, and draws+pairs...

[Dilly]

I get what you're saying, The percent of our raw equity that materializes in our expected value is our equity realization, this is factored into solver...

[Dilly]

I think it makes most sense to just use the charts while playing and reviewing hands until the optimal ranges become familiar and then make adjustments...

[Dilly]

Not to pile on, but like London said nobody plays "GTO." Even if you could play exactly as a solver suggests, which you can't, the solver is...

[Dilly]

Slightly confused, did the LJ limp call, or are we the LJ and the non-blind villain is the HJ right behind us? Assuming the latter.

Pre-flop...

[Dilly]

On the flop we have a huge range advantage and our specific hand can get called by many worse hands so we have a value driven initiative--I think we can...

[Dilly]

There could be merit to that, if I'm being honest I probably play in game tighter than this, I find myself making a lot more mistakes against harder to...

[Dilly]

Yeah continuing the bluff here is really only targeting JJ KK KQ

[Dilly]

Haven't studied 20BB at all so this could very well be totally off base.

In a tournament against competent opponents with a 20bb stack, you...