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should i have folded the turn already ? no reads on villian

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  • should i have folded the turn already ? no reads on villian

    20/40 (5 ante) - 8 players


    UTG: 5,183 (130 bb)
    UTG+1: 5,056 (126 bb)
    MP: 5,974 (149 bb)
    MP+1: 10,341 (259 bb)
    CO: 4,763 (119 bb)
    BU: 4,847 (121 bb)
    SB: 3,890 (97 bb)
    BB (Hero): 4,950 (124 bb)

    Pre-Flop: (100) Hero is BB with K♦ K♠
    3 players fold, MP+1 raises to 87, 3 players fold, Hero 3-bets to 280, MP+1 calls 193

    Flop: (620) Q♦ 8♥ J♣ (2 players)
    Hero bets 413, MP+1 calls 413

    Turn: (1,446) T♦ (2 players)
    Hero checks, MP+1 bets 840, Hero calls 840

    River: (3,126) 7♥ (2 players)
    Hero checks, MP+1 bets 1,879, BB (Hero) folds

    Total pot: 3,126
    MP+1 wins 3,126

  • #2
    what does my solver say ?

    on flop I should rather bet Potsize ! (but no real mistake)

    on turn the preferred sizing is again Potsize and if this were my only betting option i should check 100% of the time

    (compare: if 25% Potsize were my only betting option i should check 14% of the time and bet 86% of the time)

    as played (checking the turn) when villian bets 840 calling (EV: 0.51) is correct and better than folding (EV 0) (raising would be a big big blunder)

    checking river best option

    when villian bets river I should fold and this is not even close
    Last edited by Guido; 05-19-2020, 12:51 AM.

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