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to bet 25-30% potsize on Flop and 60-65% potsize on turn
what is the math behind ?
I See this betting pattern a lot on pokerstars on bigger buyins
i would Guess on Flop villian misses 65% of the Time often and with such a small bet he is almost Forced to stay in with all sorts of junk .
when you bet bigger on turn this is the Main decision point for villian . he still has missed a lot of marginal draws or has a marginal Made Hand (otherwise often he would have raised on a certain point before ) ...now he pays Mostly too much for a marginal draw (8-9outer) or even for the marginal Made Hand (Because this is very vulnerable, he can either lose vs a draw later or Top pair )
when I bet 66 %potsize this Needs to work roughly 40 percent of the Time, so villian has to defend 60 percent of the Time, so to such a quite large bet a lot of villians will fold at least 50 % of the Time in a lot of spots ; so we are printing Money right ?
thoughts ?
what is the math behind ?
I See this betting pattern a lot on pokerstars on bigger buyins
i would Guess on Flop villian misses 65% of the Time often and with such a small bet he is almost Forced to stay in with all sorts of junk .
when you bet bigger on turn this is the Main decision point for villian . he still has missed a lot of marginal draws or has a marginal Made Hand (otherwise often he would have raised on a certain point before ) ...now he pays Mostly too much for a marginal draw (8-9outer) or even for the marginal Made Hand (Because this is very vulnerable, he can either lose vs a draw later or Top pair )
when I bet 66 %potsize this Needs to work roughly 40 percent of the Time, so villian has to defend 60 percent of the Time, so to such a quite large bet a lot of villians will fold at least 50 % of the Time in a lot of spots ; so we are printing Money right ?
thoughts ?
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