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X/R On Paired Board w/ NFD & Overs

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  • X/R On Paired Board w/ NFD & Overs

    In this hand we're far from the money. Villain seems somewhat loose based on previous actions, stats and notes although its a small sample.
    [P] 3Bet All-In (Eff. Stacks: BB between 5 and 20) with {ATo} (1)
    [P] 3Bet Blind vs Steal All-In (Eff. Stacks: BB >= 8) with {ATo} (1)
    [P] Limp and called a raise with {88} (1)
    [P] Opened all-in from the Button (Eff. Stacks: BB between 5 and 18) with {ATo} (1)

    $2 - $2500 GTD - 250/500 - 80% Ante - NL - 8 players

    Hero (CO): 30.62 BB
    BB: 27.88 BB (VPIP: 26.09, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 4.35, Hands: 69)

    8 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

    Pre Flop: (pot: 2.3 BB) Hero has QhAh
    fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 1 BB

    Flop : (5.3 BB, Hero 28.52 BB, Villain: 25.78BB) Jh9hJs
    BB checks, Hero bets 1.91 BB, BB calls 1.91 BB

    Turn : (9.12 BB, Hero 26.62 BB, Villain 23.87 BB) 7d
    BB checks, Hero bets 3.28 BB, BB raises to 7.06 BB

    Hero ?

    We're getting just over 5:1 to see the river which gives us odds to draw to the flush but we could run into a full house. J9 & 99 is certainly in vililains range. Also Jx hands which block flush cards. The straight came for T8. However there's also lots of draws in Vs range which he could be bluffing on a scary board. This is a really tough spot. We're getting odds to call but ROI could be in play. Folding seems awfully nitty so I think my options are to call or raise.