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imagine I can psuh 92% but expected profit marginal even with AA

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  • imagine I can psuh 92% but expected profit marginal even with AA

    I am analyzing a mtt I played last time

    this is interesting ICM wise

    here I need to push 92 % says ICMizer 2

    Final table 4 players left


    PokerStars Tournament $9.80+$1.20 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XLVIII (80000/160000) -


    Seat 3: (7090890 in chips) CO villian 44 BB bigstack

    Seat 5: Hero Button (2565174 in chips) 16 BB

    Seat 6: SB (1852344 in chips) 12 BB

    Seat 7: BB (2581592 in chips) 16 BB

    ante 20000
    small blind 80000
    big blind 160000

    *** HOLE CARDS ***

    Dealt to Hero Button [Qd Kd]

    Cutoff Big stack: folds

    Hero Button 92 % allin range see on attachment

    I guess it is because when the only big stack folds I can put max pressure to the remaining other 2 short stacks (12 and 16 BB)

    sure I enough I pushed here with Qd Kd but I would not have guessed I can push that wide

    but when I see the expected profit it seems like marginal even with AA (+.0.49)

    payouts:

    1st 3500 $
    2nd 2000 $
    3rd 1550 §
    4th 1100 §
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