should I have bet smaller on river ?

[Guido]

AF says when you are pretty sure you have the best hand you should often bet 1/3 potsize on river because people call too much and you collect regularly 10 bb at least , this has the expection of getting aces preflop

but here he could have hit a ton like Jd , 9d, 8d that would call my river betsize , i was targeting this part of villians range

Did I miss value by betting too big ?

PokerStars Hand : Tournament , $100+$9 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level IX (350/700) -

8-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: (26665 in chips)
Seat 2: (55694 in chips)
Seat 3: (20525 in chips)
Seat 4: (17282 in chips)
Seat 5: (28545 in chips)

Seat 6: button villian (42757 in chips) 61 BB, 122 hands 24/15 player ,cbet flop-turn-river 50-75-10, AF 3.2, 3 bet 2%, wsd 30

Seat 7: SB Villian (40721 in chips) 58 BB, 120 hands 30/17 player , 3bet 7%, Cold Call 29 , wsd 40

Seat 8: BB hero (33742 in chips) 41 BB
ante 90
small blind 350
big blind 700

*** HOLE CARDS ***

Dealt to BB hero [Td Qd]
folds
folds
folds
folds
folds
button villian : raises 700 to 1400

SB Villian calls 1050

BB hero [Td Qd] calls 700

*** FLOP *** [Jc 4d Kd] Potsize 4920

SB Villian: checks
BB hero checks
button villian : checks

*** TURN *** [Jc 4d Kd] [Ad] Potsize 4920

SB Villian checks
BB hero : bets 1624
button villian folds
SB Villian : calls 1624

*** RIVER *** [Jc 4d Kd Ad] [5d] Potsize 8168

SB Villian : checks
BB hero : bets 5600
SB Villian : folds

[BruceO]

[kkep]

I would have bet the Turn way bigger. I think if they are calling 1/3 on the turn they will also call 2/3+
Are they going to call with a gut shot (especially with no DBFD) for 1/3 pot bet? I doubt it. So what
are they calling with?

I know we aren't suppose to have a calling range from the SB pre flop here but the reality is all the
hands we should be 3 betting as bluffs most players are calling with and then some.

Maybe hands like these are in the SB range that are calling a turn bet. Maybe a little less

44,ATs-A2s,K8s+,QTs+,JdTd,Jd9d,Td9d,Jd8d,Td8d,9d8d,9d7d,8 d7d,8d6d,7d6d,6d5d,5d4d,ATo-A6o,KJo-K7o,QTo

That's 162 combos that I think will continue form 2/3 pot some players IE calling stations maybe even a pot sized bet.
The other 120 combos or so are folding as soon as you reach for chips IMO.

I would have bet about 3500 on the turn and then probably 1/2 pot on river. I don't think they will
call more than 1/2 pot unless they have JdXx but they might find a hero call with lots of other stuff.