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should I have bet smaller on river ?

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  • should I have bet smaller on river ?

    AF says when you are pretty sure you have the best hand you should often bet 1/3 potsize on river because people call too much and you collect regularly 10 bb at least , this has the expection of getting aces preflop

    but here he could have hit a ton like Jd , 9d, 8d that would call my river betsize , i was targeting this part of villians range

    Did I miss value by betting too big ?

    PokerStars Hand : Tournament , $100+$9 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level IX (350/700) -

    8-max Seat #6 is the button
    Seat 1: (26665 in chips)
    Seat 2: (55694 in chips)
    Seat 3: (20525 in chips)
    Seat 4: (17282 in chips)
    Seat 5: (28545 in chips)

    Seat 6: button villian (42757 in chips) 61 BB, 122 hands 24/15 player ,cbet flop-turn-river 50-75-10, AF 3.2, 3 bet 2%, wsd 30

    Seat 7: SB Villian (40721 in chips) 58 BB, 120 hands 30/17 player , 3bet 7%, Cold Call 29 , wsd 40

    Seat 8: BB hero (33742 in chips) 41 BB
    ante 90
    small blind 350
    big blind 700

    *** HOLE CARDS ***

    Dealt to BB hero [Td Qd]
    folds
    folds
    folds
    folds
    folds
    button villian : raises 700 to 1400

    SB Villian calls 1050

    BB hero [Td Qd] calls 700

    *** FLOP *** [Jc 4d Kd] Potsize 4920

    SB Villian: checks
    BB hero checks
    button villian : checks

    *** TURN *** [Jc 4d Kd] [Ad] Potsize 4920

    SB Villian checks
    BB hero : bets 1624
    button villian folds
    SB Villian : calls 1624

    *** RIVER *** [Jc 4d Kd Ad] [5d] Potsize 8168

    SB Villian : checks
    BB hero : bets 5600
    SB Villian : folds

  • #2

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    • #3
      I would have bet the Turn way bigger. I think if they are calling 1/3 on the turn they will also call 2/3+
      Are they going to call with a gut shot (especially with no DBFD) for 1/3 pot bet? I doubt it. So what
      are they calling with?

      I know we aren't suppose to have a calling range from the SB pre flop here but the reality is all the
      hands we should be 3 betting as bluffs most players are calling with and then some.

      Maybe hands like these are in the SB range that are calling a turn bet. Maybe a little less

      44,ATs-A2s,K8s+,QTs+,JdTd,Jd9d,Td9d,Jd8d,Td8d,9d8d,9d7d,8 d7d,8d6d,7d6d,6d5d,5d4d,ATo-A6o,KJo-K7o,QTo

      That's 162 combos that I think will continue form 2/3 pot some players IE calling stations maybe even a pot sized bet.
      The other 120 combos or so are folding as soon as you reach for chips IMO.

      I would have bet about 3500 on the turn and then probably 1/2 pot on river. I don't think they will
      call more than 1/2 pot unless they have JdXx but they might find a hero call with lots of other stuff.
      Last edited by kkep; 06-19-2019, 03:04 PM.

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