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Tricky River Decision SPR<1 When Worst River Card Hits

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  • Tricky River Decision SPR<1 When Worst River Card Hits

    PokerStars, $20 + $2 - Hold'em No Limit - 40/80 (8 ante) - 9 players

    UTG: 9,678 (121 bb)
    UTG+1: 10,167 (127 bb)
    MP: 10,116 (126 bb)
    MP+1: 10,319 (129 bb)
    LP: 13,999 (175 bb)
    CO: 10,132 (127 bb)
    BU: 14,916 (186 bb)
    SB (Hero): 8,617 (108 bb)
    BB: 11,984 (150 bb)

    Pre-Flop: (192) Hero is SB with K K
    5 players fold, CO raises to 180, BTN calls 180, Hero 3-bets to 872, BB calls 792, 2 players fold

    Flop: (2,176) 2 K 9 (2 players)
    Hero bets 718, BB calls 718

    Turn: (3,612) J (2 players)
    Hero bets 1,608, BB calls 1,608

    River: (6,828) A (2 players)
    Hero ??

    Villain here is massive calling station, running at 26/4/0 over 148 hands.

    With an SPR < 1 we generally should be happy getting it in with TP+, so 2nd set definitely meets the requirements. What's more unusual though is the fact that I've still got a 67bb stack on the river. I could potentially x/f and still have a very healthy stack (in terms of bb, not relative to the rest of my table).

    So what's the play here? If I check there's no guarantee at all that a player like this will bluff. So if he bets I'm probably in bad shape, but should we find a fold? Considering he is a calling station, if we do shove do we still get called by worse?

    What do you think of my bet sizing throughout the hand? The turn is possibly too small, but Iw anted to set up for an easy shove on the river without scaring the guy off.

  • #2
    At first I was thinking I would size up on the turn(about 2200) but as played you jammed about 5400 into 6800 which is a good sizing for the shove. Against a station I think you just have to go all the way for value. I recently rewatched a Matt A 3bet pot webinar, and he said don't think about how many BB you started the hand with, the SPR is the main factor.
    Last edited by Raddad_101213; 11-26-2020, 09:12 AM.

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    • #3
      Originally posted by Raddad_101213 View Post
      Matt A ... said don't think about how many BB you started the hand with, the SPR is the main factor.
      That's interesting to know, I'll keep that in mind going forwards. Thanks mate.

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